Sterling Extends Losses amid Growing Hard-Brexit Fears


The British pound surrendered post-election gains on new Brexit deadline prospects. As known, the United Kingdom is due to leave the European Union by January 31st, 2020. However, the transition period deadline is in December 2020. Media reports showed earlier that Boris Johnson is planning to revise the Withdrawal Agreement Bill to include a blockage for any extension to the transition period deadline. Therefore, this could lift the chances of the United Kingdom, leaving the European Union without a trade deal, which would increase risks and uncertainty. The GBPUSD tumbled to 1.3160, the GBPJPY dropped to 144.20, and the EURGBP inched higher to 0.8459.


The Australian dollar weakened against rivals post the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes. The board believes that the current wage growth is not fast enough to support inflation and consumption goals. Moreover, the board agreed to reassess the economic outlook at the February meeting, raising the chances of an interest rate cut. The AUDUSD dropped to a one-week low of $0.6843, and the EURAUD edged higher to 1.6270.


The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies rallied to 97.30 as European currencies faltered. The media reported that Boris Johnson would be adding a revision to the WAB to avoid any extension to the transition period, which allows the UK to leave without reaching a trade deal with the EU. As a result, market participants favored dollar safety. On the data front, investors await a series of economic indicators among them housing starts, building permits, industrial production, and JOLTs job openings.


Gold prices traded near an upside resistance near $1480 lifted by the lack of clarity over the phase 1 trade deal, and fresh Brexit woes. The price of a silver ounce held steady above $17, while palladium logged a fresh record high of $2002.


Oil prices finished slightly higher on hopes of higher demand led by the recent trade developments between the world's largest economies. Market participants are looking forward to the US oil inventory data by the American Petroleum Institute and the US Energy Information Administration, today and tomorrow, respectively. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose to $60.32, and Brent futures ticked higher to $65.64.



The British pound weakened further against rivals weighed down by Brexit fears. Michael Gove confirmed that the government would legislate to rule out any possible extension for the transition period deadline, raising the chances of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union without a trade deal, which would significantly lift market risks and uncertainty. On the other hand, European officials declared that the timetable is rigid, making it hard to strike a deal. The GBPUSD tumbled to $1.3072, the GBPJPY drifted lower to 143.07, and the EURGBP tested a two-week high of 0.8517.


The dollar index, which measures the greenback against the basket of major currencies, inched higher to 97.36 as European currencies lost ground. The fresh hard-Brexit fears drove the British pound and the Euro lower, putting the dollar in a much favorable position. Market participants are looking forward to any headlines concerning the transition period deadline, and how the mentioned currencies will react to the CPI figures.


Gold prices remained caught in a tight trading range awaiting fresh fundamental drivers. The recent trade developments failed to provide investors with clear insight into the future path of the relation between China and the United States, keeping investors' risk appetite in question. The price of a gold ounce failed to settle above the upside resistance zone of $1480 for the second consecutive day. The price of a silver ounce held steady near $17, while palladium faltered at a record high of 2002, and plunged to $1920.


Oil prices retreated from a three-month high on API oil stock figures. The American Petroleum Institute reported a buildup of 4.7 million barrels in US oil stock last week. Market participants await the official figures to be announced by the US Energy Information Administration later today. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped to $60.40, and Brent futures fell to $65.65.

Major Economic Events

GMT Country Event Expectation Previous



German Ifo Business Climate Index (Dec)





CPI (YoY) (Nov)





CPI (YoY) (Nov)





CPI (MoM) (Nov)





Crude Oil Inventories




The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM.COM. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

CFDs and Spot FX are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71.31% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and Spot FX work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Read more
Read more
Mail Call Chat Whatsapp